Thursday, October 14, 2004

End of the season evaluation of The Trade

Well, the season is over and we can take a look at The Trade so far. Here are the Win Shares:

Player         Team   POS    Bat  Pitch Field  ExpWS    WSP   WSAA Total
S Finley       LAD    OF     7.1    0.0   2.0      7   .676      2     9
Y Brazoban     LAD    P      0.0    4.5   0.0      2  1.184      3     4
B Penny        LAD    P     -0.1    0.8   0.0      1   .630      0     1
H Choi         LAD    1B     0.1    0.0   0.3      2   .089     -2     0
B Mayne        LAD    C     -1.4    0.0   1.4      3  -.007     -3     0

P Lo Duca      FLO    C      4.7    0.0   1.9      6   .567      1     6
J Encarnacion  FLO    OF     4.2    0.0   1.3      5   .530      0     5
G Mota         FLO    P      0.6    2.3   0.0      3   .546      0     3
D Roberts      BOS    OF     1.3    0.0   1.0      3   .446      0     2
T Martin       ATL    P      0.0    1.2   0.0      1   .459      0     1
K Hill         ARI    C      0.7    0.0   0.0      1   .350      0     1

I put Brazoban in the plus column for the Dodgers since Mota was blocking him out of playing time. I think it's pretty clear that Penny's injury and Choi's benching make this deal look pretty bad for the Dodgers. Encarnacion played better than I expected, but so did Finley. Florida certainly seemed to get a good deal.

I'm not 100% sure how free-agency works, but I think Finley's future is a win-win for the Dodgers. They get the first shot at signing him, and if someone else (Arizona for instance) signs him, they get a draft pick or two in compensation. The ages (and thus potential) and contract situation of the other players involved favor the Dodgers.

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