I've been listening to Aswath Damodaran's valuation class online, which has been very informative. Near the end of Lecture 10, Professor Damodaran suggests an interesting adjustment to "punish" companies for having complex structures that are hard to understand and analyze. The argument goes the more complex a company is, the more places it can hide information about itself and the more likely some of those details will turn out to be bad news. The professor suggests counting the number of pages in a companies 10-K as a simple way to measure complexity.
I sort of assume my companies are more transparent than their peers, but I didn't have any way of measuring that. Now I do. Here are my core holdings with the first competitor I thought of for reference:
Company Pages ------- ----- Oracle 103 Canon (20-F) 122 Select Comfort 72 Berkshire 84 Alberto 99 Sally 99 Marblehead 71+38F SAP (20-F) 121+70F+1S HP 152 Tempur-Pedic 48+30F Citigroup 180 P&G 23 Regis 117 Sallie Mae 118+84F+12A
I don't know how to treat the extra pages (F-38, A-12 and so on), but my sense is that these are a sign of even more complexity than regular pages. Proctor & Gamble walk away with the prize in this group, but overall, the companies I own are objectively less complicated than the ones I don't. I had actually picked Citigroup as a foil to Berkshire because I expected it to have over a thousand pages. Perhaps that number includes all the supplementary documents that I don't plan on even opening. I only included the main 10-K.
One other reason to use this sort of test is that if a company's filings are too long or complicated, chances are you won't read it. My Alberto-Culver investment relied on that principle, since I hoped as few people as possible would have worked though the sum-of-the-parts valuation and I could buy in at a low price. Now that I've bought, I hope the Sally reports at least are going to become more clear and simple so that other investors can begin to appreciate the company's true worth. And since insiders have had these same goals, I'm pretty sure my wish will be granted.
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