Yesterday, the Dodgers traded Paul Lo Duca, Guillermo Mota and Juan Encarnacion to Florida for Hee Seop Choi, Brad Penny and a minor-league pitcher, Bill Murphy. Using the Win Shares list from The Hardball Times for this season so far:
Rank Player Team POS Bat Pitch Field Total ExpWS WSP WSAA 37 G Mota LAD P -0.5 8.5 0.0 8 4 1.082 4 108 P Lo Duca LAD C 8.9 0.0 3.4 12 10 .626 2 375 J Encarnacion LAD OF 6.3 0.0 1.4 8 9 .429 -1 38 H Choi FLO 1B 11.9 0.0 1.0 13 9 .751 4 82 B Penny FLO P -2.4 10.3 0.0 8 6 .694 2 - B Murphy - P - - - - - - -
Obviously Murphy hasn't established any sort of value, but is worth more than nothing. So the Dodgers gave up 28 to get 21+ Win Shares. But look at the last column, Win Shares Above Average. I'm not convinced the statistic is accurate, but I think it tells the story of the trade. Encarnacion has hurt the Dodgers because he's been taking time away from the other outfielders:
62 M Bradley LAD OF 9.0 0.0 2.8 12 9 .639 3 90 D Roberts LAD OF 7.4 0.0 1.4 9 7 .621 2 97 J Werth LAD OF 4.7 0.0 0.5 5 3 .937 2 263 J Grabowski LAD OF 3.4 0.0 0.3 4 3 .538 0 546 S Green LAD 1B 6.4 0.0 1.2 8 11 .360 -3
Ok, maybe they should have found a way to trade Green as well.
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